Tuesday, July 17, 2012

INDONESIA - CAPITAL MARKETS - Auction July 10 : Sukuk investors are not Absorb Country Auction

www.ibpa.co.id - JAKARTA (IFT) - The government does not win all the bids in the auction of state securities or sukuk Islamic countries do Tuesday (10/7). Finance Ministry official said the government did not win because it offers investors demand in return (yield) is too high.
The results of the sukuk auction held Tuesday, was the worst in 2012. Number of bids reached Rp 1.22 trillion from five series offered through an auction mechanism. The government cut the indicative target of Rp 500 billion from Rp 1 trillion in the previous auction.  (source)



Five series which auctioned the SPN-S 11012013 (new issuance) with a tenor of one year discount rate of return, series PBS001 (reopening) tenor of six years in exchange for 4.45%, PBS002 (reopening) tenor of 10 years in exchange for 5.45%, PBS003 (reopening) tenor of 15 years in exchange for 6% and PBS004 (reopening) tenor of 25 years in exchange for 6.1%.
The highest number of offers on the series worth Rp 646 billion PBS001, SPN-S11012013 series worth Rp 181 billion, PBS004 series worth Rp 163 billion, series worth Rp 131 billion PBS002 and PBS003 series worth Rp 96 billion.
Waluyanto, Director General of Debt Management, Ministry of Finance, said the government did not win the whole supply because of investor demand for yield is very high.
Based on data from the Directorate of Debt Management, the range of demand for yield by 5.87% PBS001 -6.75%, above the 5.87% secondary market. Demand PBS002 yield in the range 6.5% -7%, 6.44% exceeded the secondary market. Yield demand PBS003 series in the range 6.87% -7.5%, exceeding the secondary market yield of 6.47% and demand PBS004 in the range 6.97% to 8%, while in the secondary market only 6.73%. The Government did not yield it receives a request that all offers be rejected.
According to the Research Department of IFT, the domestic bond market is still likely to be affected in external conditions. European sovereign debt crisis resolution process is still ongoing and there is no clear signal towards improvement. Meanwhile, the economic funds from some developed countries, published last weekend and earlier this week the result disappointing financial industry.
Unemployment data in the United States does not match market expectations. Eurobonds market is also worried about rejection by German Chancellor Angela Merkel. In fact, the market rate that the solution is considered to end the crisis in Europe.
Under conditions of relative uncertainty, investors tend to reduce investment in less liquid instruments such as sukuk country. The condition is different from the Government Securities (GS) which are relatively illiquid, so that the auction is still running more lively.
BargainingHerbie Mohede, Bond Analyst PT Samuel Asset Management, said the absence of bidding, which was won, proving the government has a strong bargaining position while investors still require a high yield in every series. "Step right government. Government's strong bargaining position to maintain market expectations, but on the other hand it makes the investor a 'bite finger' for want of a high yield, "said Herbie.
Jemmy Paul, Fund Manager Sucorinvest Asset Management, added drop indicative target is a signal that the government had anticipated the demand for high yield investors. "The government believes in the auction of sukuk are not too attractive to foreign and local investors," said Jemmy.
Foreign and local investors also tend to wait for the certainty of the European Central Bank policy related to the purchase of Spanish and Italian bonds new made on Tuesday afternoon local time. Completion of the steps the European crisis to be one investor's attention.
According to Jemmy, the decision did not win the bids indicates the government still has the bargaining power of the investor. In addition, the government can meet the most optimistic budget deficit State in 2012. (*)

Ditulis Oleh : Firdaus Nur Iman & Houtmand P Saragih, Sumber : Indonesiafinancetoday.com
JAKARTA (IFT) – Pemerintah tidak memenangkan semua penawaran yang masuk dalam lelang Surat Berharga Syariah Negara atau sukuk negara yang lakukan Selasa (10/7). Pejabat Kementerian Keuangan mengatakan pemerintah tidak memenangkan penawaran investor karena permintaan imbalan (yield) terlalu tinggi.
Hasil lelang sukuk negara yang dilaksanakan Selasa, merupakan yang terburuk sepanjang 2012. Jumlah penawaran yang masuk mencapai Rp 1,22 triliun dari lima seri yang ditawarkan melalui mekanisme lelang. Pemerintah menurunkan target indikatif menjadi Rp 500 miliar dari Rp 1 triliun pada lelang sebelumnya.
Lima seri yang dilelang yaitu SPN-S 11012013 (new issuance) tenor satu tahun dengan tingkat imbalan diskonto, seri PBS001 (reopening) tenor enam tahun dengan imbalan 4,45%, PBS002 (reopening) tenor 10 tahun dengan imbalan 5,45%, PBS003 (reopening) tenor 15 tahun dengan imbalan 6% dan PBS004 (reopening) tenor 25 tahun dengan imbalan 6,1%.
Jumlah penawaran tertinggi pada seri PBS001 senilai Rp 646 miliar, seri SPN-S11012013 senilai Rp 181 miliar, seri PBS004 senilai Rp 163 miliar, seri PBS002 senilai Rp 131 miliar dan seri PBS003 senilai Rp 96 miliar.
Rahmat Waluyanto, Direktur Jenderal Pengelolaan Utang Kementerian Keuangan, menegaskan pemerintah tidak memenangkan seluruh penawaran karena permintaan yield dari investor yang sangat tinggi.
Berdasarkan data Direktorat Pengelolaan Utang, kisaran permintaan yield untuk PBS001 sebesar 5,87%-6,75%, di atas pasar sekunder 5,87%. Permintaan yield PBS002 pada kisaran 6,5%-7%, melampaui pasar sekunder 6,44%. Permintaan yield seri PBS003 di kisaran 6,87%-7,5%, melebihi pasar sekunder 6,47% dan permintaan yield PBS004 pada kisaran 6,97% hingga 8% sedangkan di pasar sekunder hanya 6,73%. Pemerintah pun tidak menerima permintaan yield itu sehingga semua penawaran ditolak.
Menurut Departemen Riset IFT, pasar obligasi domestik masih cenderung terpengaruh kondisi eksternal. Proses penyelesaian krisis utang Eropa masih berlangsung dan belum ada sinyal jelas kearah perbaikan. Sementara itu, dana ekonomi dari beberapa negara maju yang dipublikasikan akhir pekan lalu dan awal pekan ini hasilnya mengecewakan pelaku industri keuangan dunia.
Data pengangguran di Amerika Serikat tidak sesuai ekspektasi pelaku pasar. Pasar juga mencemaskan penolakan Eurobonds oleh Kanselir Jerman Angela Merkel. Padahal, pasar menilai bahwa solusi ini dianggap mampu mengakhiri krisis Eropa.
Dalam kondisi yang relatif tidak pasti tersebut, investor cenderung mengurangi investasi di instrumen yang kurang likuid seperti sukuk negara. Kondisi tersebut berbeda dengan Surat Utang Negara (SUN) yang relatif likuid, sehingga pelaksanaan lelang masih berjalan lebih semarak.
Posisi Tawar
Herbie Mohede, Analis Obligasi PT Samuel Asset Management, mengatakan dengan tidak adanya penawaran yang dimenangkan, membuktikan pemerintah mempunyai posisi tawar yang kuat sementara para investor tetap meminta yield tinggi di setiap seri. “Langkah pemerintah tepat. Posisi tawar pemerintah kuat untuk menjaga ekspektasi pasar, tetapi disisi lain hal ini membuat para investor jadi ‘gigit jari’ karena menginginkan yield tinggi,” kata Herbie.

Jemmy Paul, Fund Manager PT Sucorinvest Asset Management, menambahkan penurunan target indikatif merupakan sinyal bahwa pemerintah sudah mengantisipasi permintaan yield tinggi dari investor. “Pemerintah yakin dalam lelang sukuk tidak terlalu diminati investor asing maupun lokal,” kata Jemmy.
Investor asing dan lokal juga cenderung menunggu kepastian kebijakan Bank Sentral Eropa terkait pembelian surat utang Spanyol dan Italia yang baru dilakukan pada Selasa sore waktu setempat. Langkah-langkah penyelesaian krisis Eropa menjadi salah satu perhatian investor.
Menurut Jemmy, keputusan tidak memenangkan penawaran yang masuk menunjukkan pemerintah masih memiliki daya tawar terhadap investor. Selain itu, pemerintah optimistis bisa memenuhi sebagian defisit Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara 2012.(*)

Source:  http://www.ibpa.co.id/News/ArsipBerita/tabid/126/EntryId/4270/Investor-Tak-Serap-Lelang-Sukuk-Negara.aspx - July 10, 2012 - google translate

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